Waste Management Phoenix Open 2026: Expert Betting Picks and Predictions

The highly anticipated Waste Management Phoenix Open is back, and with it, the spotlight returns to Scottie Scheffler, a formidable force in professional golf. Following Justin Rose’s stunning 60-1 victory at the Farmers Insurance Open last week—a moment celebrated by our expert Stephen Hennessey—it’s time to shift focus and strategize for the upcoming tournament.

Recent Tournament Trends

Historically, the WM Phoenix Open has been a stage for underdog victories, with Thomas Detry and Nick Taylor capturing titles as longshots in the last two years. In contrast, Scheffler dominated the competition with back-to-back victories before that, making this tournament a blend of potential surprises and established talent.

Expert Betting Panel

Our expert panel draws insights from:

• Pat Mayo – Underdog/Mayo Media Network
• Andy Lack – Inside Sports Network
• Ryan Noonan – Betsperts
• Stephen Hennessey – Golf Digest Managing Editor
• Keith Stewart – CEO of Read The Line

Expert Outright Picks for the 2026 WM Phoenix Open

Pat Mayo: Cameron Young (25-1, FanDuel)

Young is poised for success after showing flashes of his previous form with solid ball-striking at Torrey Pines. With impressive averages in strokes gained on approach and putting, he is primed for a strong showing at a driver-heavy course like TPC Scottsdale.

Keith Stewart: Maverick McNealy (35-1, Bet365)

McNealy is gaining momentum, consistently performing well across all strokes gained categories. Recent top-ten finishes at the WM Phoenix Open support his strong form, making him a serious contender.

Ryan Noonan: Maverick McNealy (33-1, BetRivers)

Acknowledging Scheffler’s prowess but forecasting an upset, Noonan highlights McNealy’s improved ball speed and iron play. His proven track record at TPC Scottsdale reinforces his potential for a top finish.

Stephen Hennessey: Kurt Kitayama (56-1, Bet365)

Hennessey observes value in the "without Scheffler" market for Kitayama, capable of racking up birdies and showcasing his strong skills off-the-tee and on approach. He expects a significant improvement in his putting, making him a standout pick.

Christopher Powers: Jordan Spieth (50-1, Caesars Sportsbook)

Spieth’s consistent track record at TPC Scottsdale, including multiple top finishes, makes him a reliable bet, notwithstanding his recent fluctuations in form.

Andy Lack: Cameron Young (25-1, BetOnline)

Lack backs Young again, asserting that his solid tee-to-green game will serve him well at Scottsdale, where he has previously achieved notable finishes.

Sleepers and Dark Horses to Consider

Pat Mayo: Brooks Koepka (45-1, BetMGM) – Despite struggles with putting, Koepka has a strong history at TPC Scottsdale, including two wins, making him a worthwhile gamble.

Keith Stewart: Kurt Kitayama (70-1, Bet365) – With a reliable ball-striking game and potential for improvement on the greens, Kitayama could challenge the frontrunners.

Ryan Noonan: Kurt Kitayama (70-1, Bet365) – Consistent tee-to-green performance combined with positive trends on flat greens solidifies Kitayama’s status as a dark horse.

Stephen Hennessey: Andrew Novak (76-1, DraftKings) – Novak’s promising form and familiarity with TPC Scottsdale bolster his chances for a breakout victory.

Players to Fade

Pat Mayo: Hideki Matsuyama (25-1, BetRivers) – Currently struggling with his driver, Matsuyama’s odds are unappealing given his recent performance.

Keith Stewart: Xander Schauffele (20-1, BetMGM) – Schauffele’s inconsistency post-injury makes him a risky choice this week.

Ryan Noonan: Jake Knapp (40-1, FanDuel) – Despite recent strong performances, Knapp’s issues with his approach game warrant caution.

Suggested Matchups

Pat Mayo: Cameron Young (-110) over Hideki Matsuyama – A personal favorite, highlighting a favorable matchup against Matsuyama.

Keith Stewart: Brooks Koepka (+162) over JJ Spaun – Taking advantage of Koepka’s prior success at Scottsdale against Spaun’s current form.

Ryan Noonan: Corey Conners (+100) over Sahith Theegala – Conners’ ball-striking excellence positions him favorably in this matchup.

Conclusion

As the WM Phoenix Open approaches, the blend of seasoned veterans and rising stars creates an exciting atmosphere for betting. Exploit the insights from our expert panel to enhance your wagering strategies. Whether you’re betting on outright winners, dark horses, or specific matchups, this tournament promises to deliver compelling action.

Stay tuned for updates and in-depth analysis as the tournament unfolds!