WM Phoenix Open 2026: Power Rankings, Betting Odds, and Player Predictions

As the PGA Tour heads to Scottsdale, Arizona, for the WM Phoenix Open, we’re excited to provide a detailed analysis of the top contenders for this prestigious tournament. Using a weighted model that accounts for player form, course suitability, and key statistics, we’ll reveal our top 10 players with insights on their betting odds and recent performance.

WM Phoenix Open Overview

• Event Dates: February 5 – February 8, 2026
• Location: Scottsdale, Arizona
• Course: TPC Scottsdale
• Broadcasting: CBS, Golf Channel, ESPN+
• Purse: $9,600,000
• Defending Champion: Thomas Detry

Course Insights: TPC Scottsdale

The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale features a par 71 layout over nearly 7,300 yards, crafted by designers Tom Weiskopf and Jay Morrish in 1986. This course, specifically designed for the Phoenix Open, has hosted the tournament since 1987. Each year, the event garners increasing attention from fans, particularly at the iconic par-3 16th hole, known for its electrifying atmosphere filled with grandstands.

Key Course Attributes

• Balance and Variety: TPC Scottsdale is structurally balanced and plays to a dynamic array of skills. Early holes are conventional, but risk-reward angles become critical later.
• Score Expectations: Players typically finish between 15 to 19 under par, although winds over recent years have led to lower scores.
• Greens: The Bermuda greens are among the purest on Tour, running fast and presenting challenges for players who miss.
• Critical Skills:
  • Strokes Gained Off the Tee: Essential for success, as TPC Scottsdale rewards strong drivers.
  • Iron Accuracy: Players must excel at hitting greens from varied distances, especially on longer par 4s.
  • Par 5 Performance: Scoring on par 5s is crucial; the three par 5s, along with the reachable par-4 17th, offer opportunities for low scores.

Player Model Breakdown

This week’s weighted model focuses on the last 24 rounds with the following criteria:

• 20% Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
• 20% Strokes Gained: Approach
• 15% Strokes Gained: Around the Green
• 10% Strokes Gained: Total (TPC Scottsdale)
• 10% Greens in Regulation Percentage
• 10% Par-5 Scoring
• 10% Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa Trivialis)
• 5% Proximity: 150-200 Yards

Power Rankings for the WM Phoenix Open

(DraftKings Odds: Winner/Top 5/Top 10)

10. Jordan Spieth

• Odds: +5600, +830, +385
• Model Rank: 21st
• Performance Insight: With six top 10 finishes in nine appearances at Scottsdale, Spieth remains a formidable competitor, showing solid form early in the season.

9. Maverick McNealy

• Odds: +3300, +540, +260
• Model Rank: 27th
• Performance Insight: McNealy has displayed balanced play recently and has finished T9 and T6 in his last two appearances at TPC Scottsdale.

8. Pierceson Coody

• Odds: +5500, +840, +390
• Model Rank: 5th
• Performance Insight: After a strong T2 finish at Torrey Pines, Coody’s elite driving and iron play position him as a serious contender.

7. Brooks Koepka

• Odds: +3200, +580, +310
• Model Rank: 9th
• Performance Insight: Koepka has a strong record in Phoenix, boasting two wins and a T3 finish in 2022. He’s shown sharp improvement lately.

6. Hideki Matsuyama

• Odds: +2500, +435, +210
• Model Rank: 32nd
• Performance Insight: A two-time winner who remains competitive, Matsuyama needs to maintain driver accuracy to contend.

5. Ben Griffin

• Odds: +2900, +485, +230
• Model Rank: 15th
• Performance Insight: Griffin’s recent improvements in driving and elite short-game skills make him a player to watch.

4. Xander Schauffele

• Odds: +1900, +345, +172
• Model Rank: 4th
• Performance Insight: Despite a hiccup at Torrey Pines, Schauffele boasts a consistent record at Scottsdale, making him a strong pick.

3. Si Woo Kim

• Odds: +2700, +450, +215
• Model Rank: 3rd
• Performance Insight: Kim enters the tournament with strong recent performances, consistently improving at Scottsdale.

2. Cameron Young

• Odds: +2450, +430, +210
• Model Rank: 2nd
• Performance Insight: With recent solid finishes and excellent ball striking, Young’s style suits the demands of TPC Scottsdale.

1. Scottie Scheffler

• Odds: +225, -186, -370
• Model Rank: 1st
• Performance Insight: The world’s top player enjoys a favorable history at this course, including a win in 2022. If his putter cooperates, Scheffler could dominate.

The WM Phoenix Open promises to be an exciting event, and these contenders bring a mix of skill and strategy that could lead them to victory. Keep an eye on our top picks as the tournament unfolds!